Analysis :

Birmingham-rank 9 vs Burnley – rank 19

Last meeting, Burnley won at Home by 2-1

强 vs 弱 / 主强 vs 客强
亚盘：1球 (合理)

实力

Birmingham – 77% home win odd
Home win: 6 ( face weak team normally win on odd ½ and 0.75)
Home Draw: 9 ( almost strong teams cant beat them at home)
Home Lose : 2 (downed at 0.25 rate)

Burnley – 16% Away win odd
Away win: 1 (Win over Hull City)
Away Draw: 1 ( with Man City )
Away Lose: 16 (Almost every team could win over them)

Birmingham Scoring Power: average 1 goal per game, so 1-2 goals should be ok
Burnley Defence Power: average 3 goals conceded per game

我的选择

Birmingham -0.75 @ Win 80 (Win)

Good Luck!

如何判断胜利!

如何判断胜利!

胜利是算出来的，所以我们要掌握的就是一场球的胜算。
简单Formula:
强vs强，强 vs 弱，弱vs 弱。
细腻 Formula:
主强 vs 客强, 主强 vs客弱, 主弱vs客强, 主弱vs客弱
以上的哲学是用来分析亚盘。

实力+平水+主客风+近况
你将会得到80%的胜算，其余的20%是意外+天时+裁判。

（信则赢，否则无）

From: Andriy